EDWARD'S LECTURE NOTES:
More notes at http://tanguay.info/learntracker
C O U R S E 
The Modern World: Global History since 1760
Prof. Philip Zelikow, University of Virginia
https://www.coursera.org/course/modernworld
C O U R S E   L E C T U R E 
1958-1962: The World at the Brink
Notes taken on August 2, 2014 by Edward Tanguay
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1958-1962: the years of maximum crisis during the Cold War
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1957: Sputnik
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the curtain raiser for this four-year period
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USSR demonstrates its ability to launch heavy missiles and put things into space
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October 4, 1957: Sputnik
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circled globe at 18,000 M.P.H.
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was crossing the United States
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1958 crises
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1. Middle East crisis
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Iraq
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monarchy that had long been supported by British and Americans was overthrown
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Kingdom of Iraq's Hashemite monarchy was overthrown, ruler murdered
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Hashemite monarchy had been established by King Faisal I in 1921 under the auspices of the British
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ruler murdered
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nationalist dictatorship takes its place
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America
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worried that Soviets would meddle
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tried to stay on the right side of Arab nationalism
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tried to create an Arab bulwark against Soviet penetration there
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2. Taiwan Straits crisis
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USA defends the Republic of China (Taiwan) because of a treaty
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finds itself in a long-grade confrontation with mainland China
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meanwhile the Chinese are secretly pleading to the Soviet Union to give them nuclear weapons so that they will be in a better position in this confrontation with the United States
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the Soviet refusal to give the Chinese nuclear weapons intensifies the split between Mao and Khrushchev
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3. Berlin crisis
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Berlin sitting divided in the middle of a new communist East German state
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West Berlin is a kind of hole in the East German state
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Khrushchev wants to convert this embarrassment to East Germany
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wants to force the West out of Berlin
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grand designs of communist leaders
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China
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Great Leap Forward
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convulsing his country in an effort to rapidly industrialize it
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Sino-Soviet split
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Khrushchev doesn't want Mao to get in a war with the United States
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he doesn't trust him enough
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Khrushchev wants himself and the Soviets to remain the leader of the global communist movement
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this splits was largely in secret but which breaks open by 1960
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creates a dangerous triangle
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Soviets and Chinese are competing for who is to lead the global communist movements, with the United States opposing them both
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Khrushchev's designs
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travels
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September 1959: visited the United States
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speech at UN
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increase nuclear power or at least its appearance
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win victory in Berlin
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cut spending on the huge conventional forces of Soviet military
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use this money to develop the Soviet economy and perhaps instigate a thaw in the hard communist approach to the economy, which is a bit of a contradiction with being global communist leader
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1960 Soviets shoot down American spy plane
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USA denies it
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Khrushchev reveals captured pilot Gary Powers
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summit with Eisenhower cancelled
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April 1961: Cuban Crisis: Bay of Pigs
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Fidel Castro's Cuba becomes tightly aligned with Soviets
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USA attempts invasion of Cuba
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Cuban exiles invade but fail
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Americans do not come to their aid
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embarrassment to Kennedy administration
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Kennedy wants little to do with Cuba, sees it as a distraction
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June 1961: Vienna Conference, Khrushchev and Kennedy
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ended in failure
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Kennedy comes away convinced that the superpowers are headed toward a confrontation centered on Berlin
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August 1961: Khrushchev and the East Germans build a physical wall which cuts off West Berlin
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shooting down anyone who tries to scale the wall
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1961: Americans are realizing that Soviet brandishing of missile power is a bit of a bluff
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they don't have as many long range missiles as the USA feels they might
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Soviet perform many nuclear tests
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the largest nuclear weapons ever detonated in history where during this time: 50 megatons of explosive power and more
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Americans follow with their own tests
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May 1962: Khrushchev secretly deploy missiles and troops to Cuba
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making Cuba a point for striking the US
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this would make the USA unable to defend Berlin
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the USA could not defend Berlin with conventional forces, because it is sitting in the middle of East Germany
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the USA's stance was: if you attack Berlin, we will escalate to using nuclear weapons first
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the Soviet's response was: if you start a nuclear war, we have these missiles right off your shore which can devastate your country
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you have to ask: why would the Cubans go along with this plan?
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they aren't asking for nuclear missiles
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their worry was that this will help make them a target
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Khrushchev is convinced Cuba will do this in return for other favors
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September 1962: Kennedy speech
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we will tolerate this if Soviets are just giving Cubans conventional supplies
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Soviet plan is discovered before Krushchev was going to reveal it
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October flight: spots missiles being prepared for deployment
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Kennedy debates what to do
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October 19th, 1962, meeting
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five people in the room: Kennedy and four military leaders
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Kennedy: first clinically and coldly empathizes with the other side trying to work through their calculations
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sees reasons why the Russians did this:
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1. if we do nothing, they have a missile base there
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2. if we do anything, it gives the Soviets the excuse to retaliate on Berlin
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Kennedy feels that any action he takes on Cuba, Khrushchev will take on Berlin
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yet Kennedy has to do something, otherwise Khrushchev will take Berlin in November, since: they take Berlin, USA only has nuclear war as response, won't do it now because of nuclear weapons in Cuba
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does he attack or negotiate
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Kennedy develops a third, middle option
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he blockades with an ultimatum
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Americans launch diplomatic offensive in secret
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rallied international support with Latin American countries and in Europe
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Moscow reacts:
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we will have to step down somehow now
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Americans don't want the missiles to become a fait accompli
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October 27, the most dangerous day of the crisis
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Castro expects an invasion, ready for war
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the Soviets and Cubans start shooting at spy planes, another U2 is shot down, pilot killed
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Castro is writing a letter to Krushchev, called "The Armegeddon Letter", basically saying, the invasion is underway, you might as well get prepared for nuclear war
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October 28, Khrushchev capitulates and decides to remove missiles
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America mentions that they will remove missiles from Turkey at some point
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aftermath of Cuban Missile Crisis
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world is saved from nuclear war
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with both superpowers having stepped up to the brink, there is a sense that they need to keep this from happening
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incentive to manage the arms race
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in Europe, the Berlin crisis comes to an end
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Soviets simply don't make that move in November 1962
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Soviets feel they have the wall, that is enough
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in Europe the Cold War settles down into grim routine
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the Cold War goes back to proxy battles in the Third World