EDWARD'S LECTURE NOTES:
More notes at http://tanguay.info/learntracker
C O U R S E 
A History of the World since 1300
Jeremy Adelman, Princeton University
https://www.coursera.org/#course/wh1300
C O U R S E   L E C T U R E 
1929 Economic Collapse
Notes taken on January 27, 2019 by Edward Tanguay
•
the Treaty of Versailles produced an unstable Europe
•
a goal of it was the rebuilding of a global economy
•
but many focused on establishing the economic world as it had existed before the war
•
the idea was that restoring the Victorian boom was a condition for the political peace
•
people looking for new coordinates began to be nostalgic for the old world
•
it was the crash of 1929 that would heighten the tensions within Europe
•
but the big question in 1919 was: how to rebuild
•
while Wilson and Lenin were looking forwards towards utopias, the economists and business people were looking backwards
•
Keynes argued that the Allies had made some fundamental mistakes
•
that Germany pay far too much in indemnity payments
•
that British economy could not sustain the &gold& standard
•
and Keynes argued that we needed
•
flexible foreign exchange rates
•
capital controls that would control money across borders
•
so that countries would not have to turn to nationalistic policies
•
Keynes saw this as the folly of the ruling classes
•
end the end, the crisis finally came, in 1929
•
but there was a pause for recovery in the 1920s
•
had less to do with the gold standard
•
had more to do with massive American lending to Europe
•
flow of capital to the United States
•
the largest borrower was Germany, to pay the other European countries
•
the United States was an immature lender
•
one that enjoys both trade surpluses and is an exporter of capital
•
gold flows in
•
the only way to keep the rest of the world expanding was to recirculate money to other destinations
•
it was a vulnerable system
•
as China is now
•
Britain before the war was a mature lender
•
the rest of the world was borrowing too much money
•
Germany had just recovered somewhat from the hyperinflation of 1923-1924
•
German and Austrian banks began to fail
•
they needed emergency loans from the United States
•
then came the crash on Wall Street in 1929
•
Vienna: The Credit Anstalt
•
a virus of bank failures across Europe
•
governments were too weak save them
•
1931 almost everyone had defected from the gold standard
•
1933 the United State joined getting off the gold standard
•
the world economy had lost its core
•
increasing protectionism
•
Reed Smoot / Willis Hawley
•
Smoot-Hawley Tariff
•
over 1000 economists signed an petition to denounce this
•
shrinkage in global trade
•
1928 world only reached 112%
•
in 1932 it was only 60% of 1929
•
factories shut down since they couldn't export to other markets
•
1932 there were 52 million workers were without a job
•
a destruction of the global system that had built up over centuries