EDWARD'S LECTURE NOTES:
More notes at http://tanguay.info/learntracker
C O U R S E 
The Modern World: Global History since 1760
Prof. Philip Zelikow, University of Virginia
https://www.coursera.org/course/modernworld
C O U R S E   L E C T U R E 
1947 China: Undesirable Communists vs. Flawed Nationalists
Notes taken on May 22, 2014 by Edward Tanguay
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two revolutionary models forming in Asia
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1. Guomindang (GMD)
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also known as: Kuomintang (KMT)
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Chinese Nationalist Party
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current ruling political party in Taiwan
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had started as a revolutionary party in the 1920s
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national conservative
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top-down modernizer
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the restorer of ancient Chinese traditions
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United States takes a lead in sponsoring Nationalist China as a future great power
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China should be a permanent member of the new United Nations
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1943 summit between Roosevelt, Churchill and Chiang
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2. Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
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Mao Zedong
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both of these backed by international power, though the Soviet Union sought relations with the Guomindang as well
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Chinese Civil War 1927-1950
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not very well understood
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which is fairly puzzling since the fate of China, the most populous country on earth, is clearly very important in world history
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an obscure patch of extremely important history
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1947 in the midst of the civil war
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if you had been taking bets, most people would have told you that the communists were a lot of trouble but the nationalists were bound to win
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communists getting some supplies from Soviet Union
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while trying to defeat the communists, the nationalists are moving their capital from Chongqing to Nanjing, since much of China had been occupied by Japan who had subsequently left
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trying to fight war and rebuild state
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lands ravaged by years of warfare
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overextended, economic base is fragile
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not sound basis for currency
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hyperinflation
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background
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Nationalists using American supplies to gain control along the Yangtze River as well as Manchuria with its vital industry
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communists know that the key lies in Manchuria
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Russians have occupied Manchuria through surrender terms with Japan
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communists get Japanese military equipment and arms
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George Marshall sent to China
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received by Chiang Kai-shek
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invites communist delegation
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January 1946: agree to an American suggested truce: federal government permitting the two parties to govern regions currently held, free speech, resolve issue through dialogue and not fighting
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within two months, troops are on the move again
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100 savage skirmishes flare to full-scale war
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Manchuria is the main point of struggle, the industry that Japan had built and left is the prize both sides fought for
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Chiang's troops seize all cities but find a hollow triumph
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Russian occupiers have looted everything factory before withdrawal
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Mao Zedong lead guerrilla bands into formal armies
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said that everyone in future China would have free speech except for enemies of the people, which turned out to mean: anyone who disagreed with him
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1946 Chiang returns government to Nanjing
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historically visits Sun Yat-sen mausoleum
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Chiang convenes congress to write a modern constitution as Sun Yat-sen had advised, but Chiang's power is militaristic
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with American arms, he feels the communists can be crushed
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the turning point of the war
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1947 Soviet Union commit themselves to communist victory
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Marshall had been disillusions with the National government
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stopped supporting the Nationalists as they had been
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continued to sell them arms for cash in a situation where the Chinese didn't have much money
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were giving away simply equipment that they couldn't use
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Wedemeyer report: Nationalists have flaws, but we need to back them with money and arms and strategy
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Marshall quashes this report
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decides to let things play out in China however they will, and concentrate on Europe
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1948 decisive differences
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Moscow ups its play
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Mikoyan's mission to communist China
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Anastas Mikoyan is top Soviet
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Chinese communists lavish him, say Soviet Union is the model for them
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Mao is afraid America is going to intervene soon, which turn out to be unrealistic
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congress is very worried about China
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Marshall says: we need to support Europe more than China, but makes a deal to do both
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but the help is too late
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second half of 1948 Nationalists begin to lose decisive battles
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1949 communists conquer all of China
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you have to think of what a momentous development this is
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if you are thinking about a struggle to contain communism, you've just failed to contain communism in the most populous country on earth
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a country that is a potential pivot in the course of world history
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in addition, it's created a whole model for revolutionary change
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come out of countryside
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organized the peasants
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land reform
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Mao gets together to celebrate Stalin's birthday
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talk about the possibilities
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Korea: low-grade civil war going on with a Soviet-sponsored regime in the north, and an American supported regime in the south
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Taiwan: Chiang has fled here and Mao wants to launch an invasion across the straits
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Indochina: Viet Minh in north are seeking support from China and Soviet Union in battle against South Vietnam and French
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Philippines: American supported government with rebellion of the Huks (Hukbalahap)
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Indonesian: strong communist party
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America's point of view
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hope that the Chinese will become more nationalist than communist and come to disagree with the Soviets
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America's experience with China
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you like the Nationalist government of China, but it is deeply flawed, so what do you do
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1. bolster them hoping to get them to fix flaws
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2. abandon them to their fate
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good arguments for both